As you all know (I hope), the U.S. Open is this week at Chambers Bay in University Place, Washington. Below, you’ll find some betting odds courtesy of Bovada.

I’m not a betting expert, but here are the five players I’d put my money on. 

Jordan Spieth: How do you *not* pick Spieth? OK, well, I guess you’re not going to get great value out of him because of the odds, but you’re certainly not throwing away your money.

The Masters champion had very wise words in his press conference: “If you are going to talk negative about a place, you’re almost throwing yourself out to begin with, because golf is a mental game.”

Spieth is one of the few players who have played a competitive round at Chambers Bay — he notched a round during the 2010 U.S. Amateur, but the course is very different than it was five years ago, as it’s had some time to mature and grow into itself. More important, his caddie Michael Greller actually looped at Chambers Bay in 2011 and the pair met for the first time at the U.S. Am in 2010. Greller lives in nearby Gig Harbor and will be able to provide valuable local knowledge, or at the very least, the semblance of it.

Despite a T30 finish at the Byron Nelson Championship and a missed cut at The Players Championship, Spieth hasn’t finished outside T11 in stroke play tournaments since his Masters victory. He’s in form and has the right attitude to tackle the intriguing golf course.

Dustin Johnson: *Every* player/caddie/Chambers-Bay expert has said that bombers have an advantage here. The course is long and distance is always an advantage on any track. He’ll have shorter clubs into the firm greens and be able to control the ball better.

Chambers also reminds me a bit of Whistling Straits and DJ played well there at the 2010 PGA Championship (yep, the site of the bunker-not-a-bunker debacle).

Sure, he withdrew due to illness last week at the FedEx. St Jude Classic, but he’s likely over it now and perhaps he wanted a few extra days to prepare for the U.S. Open — who knows. Either way, I expect DJ to contend this week.

Jason Day: He’s a fierce competitor and a “different” challenge like Chambers Bay won’t get under his skin. He’s not one to whine or gripe about a course just because it’s not what he’s used to playing.

Day has played well in past U.S. Opens, finishing second in 2011 and 2013 and placing T4 last year at Pinehurst.

He ranks pretty high (12th) on the PGA Tour in approaches from 200-225 yards and they’ll be plenty of those shots he’ll need to hit this week.

“They’re going to be able to set the course up to where I think it’s very challenging but in a way that they’re going to try and find the best player that’s going to win around here,” said Day. “And I don’t have any problem with it. I keep saying to people, U.S. Open is all about controlling your attitude, controlling your emotional level and your stress levels out there because it can be a very frustrating week if you let it be.”

Jim Furyk: I know, I know, I said, you have to pick a bomber, and Furyk is pretty much the opposite of that, but he is an expert at plodding his way around the golf course, not to mention he has plenty of experience to go along with it. I can see Furyk perhaps not winning, but definitely hanging in there for a top finish.

Danny Willett: The Englishman is in good form, finishing T6 in his last start at the Irish Open (at the difficult links track, Royal County Down) and placing 3rd at the WGC-Match Play Championship. At 100/1, why not put a few quid on him?

*Update: Wouldn’t hurt to put a few bucks down on local favorites Ryan Moore and Michael Putnam, either. I’m a little wary on Moore just because I know he didn’t like the course in years prior, but sounds like he’s changed his tune. I also like Kevin Kisner as a dark horse since he’s been playing quite well.

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US Open – Outright Winner

Rory McIlroy                 7/1

Jordan Spieth               8/1

Dustin Johnson             18/1

Justin Rose                   18/1

Phil Mickelson               18/1

Rickie Fowler                18/1

Henrik Stenson              25/1

Adam Scott                  28/1

Bubba Watson              28/1

Hideki Matsuyama         33/1

Jason Day                    33/1

Jim Furyk                      33/1

Jimmy Walker               33/1

Sergio Garcia                33/1

Martin Kaymer               40/1

Matt Kuchar                  40/1

Patrick Reed                 40/1

Billy Horschel                50/1

Brandt Snedeker           50/1

Brooks Koepka             50/1

Tiger Woods                 50/1

Byeong Hun An             66/1

Keegan Bradley             66/1

Lee Westwood              66/1

Paul Casey                   66/1

Ryan Moore                  66/1

Zach Johnson               66/1

Bill Haas                       80/1

Chris Kirk                      80/1

Graeme McDowell         80/1

Hunter Mahan                80/1

Ian Poulter                    80/1

J.B. Holmes                  80/1

Jason Dufner                80/1

Kevin Kisner                  80/1

Kevin Na                       80/1

Louis Oosthuizen           80/1

Luke Donald                 80/1

Ryan Palmer                 80/1

Webb Simpson             80/1

Danny Willett                 100/1

Francesco Molinari        100/1

Gary Woodland             100/1

Jamie Donaldson          100/1

Marc Leishman              100/1

Shane Lowry                 100/1

Brendon Todd               125/1

Charl Schwartzel            125/1

Charley Hoffman           125/1

Russell Henley              125/1

Alexander Noren            150/1

Ben Martin                    150/1

Bernd Wiesberger          150/1

Branden Grace              150/1

Brian Harman                150/1

Ernie Els                       150/1

George Mcneill              150/1

Robert Streb                 150/1

Tommy Fleetwood         150/1

Tony Finau                    150/1

Victor Dubuisson          150/1

Angel Cabrera               200/1

Bo Van Pelt                  200/1

Cameron Tringale          200/1

David Hearn                  200/1

Erik Compton                200/1

Geoff Ogilvy                 200/1

John Senden                 200/1

Joost Luiten                  200/1

Marc Warren                  200/1

Matt Every                    200/1

Michael Putnam             200/1

Miguel Angel Jimenez    200/1

Alexander Levy             250/1

Danny Lee                    250/1

George Coetzee            250/1

Lucas Glover                 250/1

Morgan Hoffman           250/1

Retief Goosen               250/1

Stephen Gallacher         250/1

Thongchai Jaidee          250/1

Camilo Villegas             300/1

Daniel Summerhays       300/1

Marcel Siem                  300/1

Ryo Ishikawa                 300/1

Thomas Aiken               300/1

Anirban Lahiri                400/1

Andres Romero             500/1

Beau Hossler                500/1

Billy Hurley III                500/1

Blayne Barber               500/1

Brad Fritsch                  500/1

Brandon Hagy               500/1

Bryson DeChambeau     500/1

Cameron Smith             500/1

Charlie Beljan                500/1

Cheng-Tsung Pan          500/1

Cody Gribble                500/1

Colin Montgomerie        500/1

D.A. Points                   500/1

Darren Clarke                500/1

Garth Mulroy                 500/1

Jamie Lovemark            500/1

John Parry                    500/1

Lee Janzen                    500/1

Lee McCoy                   500/1

Lucas Bjerregaard         500/1

Marcus Fraser               500/1

Matthew NeSmith          500/1

Ollie Schniederjans        500/1

Richard Lee                   500/1

Roberto Castro             500/1

Sam Horsfield               500/1

Sam Saunders              500/1

Tom Hoge                     500/1

Wen-Chong Liang          500/1

Yong-Eun Yang             500/1

Andy Pope                   1000/1

Brad Elder                    1000/1

Bradley Neil                  1000/1

Cole Hammer                1000/1

Davis Riley                   1000/1

Denny McCarthy            1000/1

Hiroyuki Fujita               1000/1

Hyung-Sung Kim           1000/1

Jack Maguire                1000/1

Jake Knapp                  1000/1

Jared Becher                 1000/1

Jason Allred                  1000/1

Jason Palmer                1000/1

Kevin Lucas                  1000/1

Kurt Barnes                   1000/1

Kyle Jones                    1000/1

Mark Silvers                  1000/1

Masahiro Kawamura      1000/1

Matt Mabrey                  1000/1

Michael Campbell          1000/1

Michael Davan              1000/1

Nick Hardy                    1000/1

Oliver Farr                     1000/1

Patrick Wilson               1000/1

Rich Berberian Jr.          1000/1

Sebastian Cappelen      1000/1

Seuk-Hyun Baek            1000/1

Shiv Kapur                    1000/1

Stephan Jaeger             1000/1

Timothy O’Neal              1000/1

Tjaart Van Der Walt        1000/1

Troy Kelly                     1000/1

Tyler Duncan                 1000/1

 

US Open – 1st Round Leader

Rory McIlroy                 10/1

Jordan Spieth               12/1

Dustin Johnson             20/1

Justin Rose                   20/1

Phil Mickelson               20/1

Rickie Fowler                25/1

Henrik Stenson              28/1

Hideki Matsuyama         28/1

Adam Scott                  33/1

Bubba Watson              33/1

Jim Furyk                      33/1

Jimmy Walker               33/1

Sergio Garcia                33/1

Jason Day                    40/1

Martin Kaymer               40/1

Patrick Reed                 40/1

Billy Horschel                50/1

Brandt Snedeker           50/1

Brooks Koepka             50/1

Keegan Bradley             50/1

Lee Westwood              50/1

Matt Kuchar                  50/1

Paul Casey                   50/1

Ryan Moore                  50/1

Tiger Woods                 50/1

Webb Simpson             50/1

Zach Johnson               50/1

Bill Haas                       66/1

Byeong Hun An             66/1

Chris Kirk                      66/1

Francesco Molinari        66/1

Hunter Mahan                66/1

Ian Poulter                    66/1

J.B. Holmes                  66/1

Jason Dufner                66/1

Kevin Kisner                  66/1

Kevin Na                       66/1

Louis Oosthuizen           66/1

Luke Donald                 66/1

Marc Leishman              66/1

Ryan Palmer                 66/1

Brendon Todd               80/1

Charl Schwartzel            80/1

Charley Hoffman           80/1

Danny Willett                 80/1

Gary Woodland             80/1

Graeme McDowell         80/1

Shane Lowry                 80/1

Alexander Noren            100/1

Ben Martin                    100/1

Bernd Wiesberger          100/1

Branden Grace              100/1

George Mcneill              100/1

Jamie Donaldson          100/1

John Senden                 100/1

Joost Luiten                  100/1

Michael Putnam             100/1

Robert Streb                 100/1

Russell Henley              100/1

Tommy Fleetwood         100/1

Tony Finau                    100/1

Alexander Levy             125/1

Angel Cabrera               125/1

Bo Van Pelt                  125/1

Brian Harman                125/1

Cameron Tringale          125/1

Camilo Villegas             125/1

Danny Lee                    125/1

David Hearn                  125/1

Ernie Els                       125/1

Geoff Ogilvy                 125/1

George Coetzee            125/1

Marc Warren                  125/1

Matt Every                    125/1

Miguel Angel Jimenez    125/1

Retief Goosen               125/1

Stephen Gallacher         125/1

Thomas Aiken               125/1

Thongchai Jaidee          125/1

Victor Dubuisson          125/1

Billy Hurley III                150/1

Daniel Summerhays       150/1

Erik Compton                150/1

Lucas Glover                 150/1

Morgan Hoffman           150/1

Anirban Lahiri                200/1

Blayne Barber               200/1

Bryson DeChambeau     200/1

Cameron Smith             200/1

Charlie Beljan                200/1

Colin Montgomerie        200/1

D.A. Points                   200/1

Darren Clarke                200/1

Garth Mulroy                 200/1

Hiroyuki Fujita               200/1

Jamie Lovemark            200/1

John Parry                    200/1

Lucas Bjerregaard         200/1

Marcel Siem                  200/1

Marcus Fraser               200/1

Masahiro Kawamura      200/1

Oliver Farr                     200/1

Ryo Ishikawa                 200/1

Seuk-Hyun Baek            200/1

Shiv Kapur                    200/1

Tjaart Van Der Walt        200/1

Tom Hoge                     200/1

Troy Kelly                     200/1

Wen-Chong Liang          200/1

Yong-Eun Yang             200/1

Andres Romero             250/1

Beau Hossler                250/1

Brad Elder                    250/1

Brad Fritsch                  250/1

Bradley Neil                  250/1

Brandon Hagy               250/1

Cody Gribble                250/1

Jack Maguire                250/1

Jared Becher                 250/1

Jason Allred                  250/1

Jason Palmer                250/1

Kevin Lucas                  250/1

Kurt Barnes                   250/1

Lee Janzen                    250/1

Ollie Schniederjans        250/1

Richard Lee                   250/1

Roberto Castro             250/1

Sam Horsfield               250/1

Sam Saunders              250/1

Sebastian Cappelen      250/1

Tyler Duncan                 250/1

Andy Pope                   300/1

Cheng-Tsung Pan          300/1

Cole Hammer                300/1

Davis Riley                   300/1

Denny McCarthy            300/1

Jake Knapp                  300/1

Kyle Jones                    300/1

Lee McCoy                   300/1

Mark Silvers                  300/1

Matt Mabrey                  300/1

Matthew NeSmith          300/1

Michael Davan              300/1

Nick Hardy                    300/1

Patrick Wilson               300/1

Rich Berberian Jr.          300/1

Stephan Jaeger             300/1

Timothy O’Neal              300/1

 

US Open – Top 5 Finish

Rory McIlroy                 3/2

Jordan Spieth               7/4

Justin Rose                   7/2

Phil Mickelson               7/2

Dustin Johnson             4/1

Rickie Fowler                4/1

Henrik Stenson              5/1

Adam Scott                  6/1

Bubba Watson              6/1

Hideki Matsuyama         6/1

Jason Day                    6/1

Jim Furyk                      6/1

Sergio Garcia                6/1

Jimmy Walker               13/2

Billy Horschel                8/1

Brandt Snedeker           8/1

Matt Kuchar                  8/1

Patrick Reed                 8/1

Martin Kaymer               9/1

Brooks Koepka             10/1

Keegan Bradley             10/1

Paul Casey                   10/1

Tiger Woods                 10/1

Ryan Moore                  11/1

Bill Haas                       12/1

Byeong Hun An             12/1

Chris Kirk                      12/1

Francesco Molinari        12/1

Ian Poulter                    12/1

Kevin Kisner                  12/1

Lee Westwood              12/1

Zach Johnson               12/1

J.B. Holmes                  14/1

Jason Dufner                14/1

Kevin Na                       14/1

Louis Oosthuizen           14/1

Luke Donald                 14/1

Marc Leishman              14/1

Ryan Palmer                 14/1

Webb Simpson             14/1

Branden Grace              16/1

Charley Hoffman           16/1

Danny Willett                 16/1

Hunter Mahan                16/1

Alexander Noren            20/1

Bernd Wiesberger          20/1

Brendon Todd               20/1

Gary Woodland             20/1

Graeme McDowell         20/1

Jamie Donaldson          20/1

Russell Henley              20/1

Shane Lowry                 20/1

Ben Martin                    25/1

Charl Schwartzel            25/1

Robert Streb                 25/1

Tony Finau                    25/1

Ernie Els                       28/1

George Mcneill              28/1

Miguel Angel Jimenez    28/1

Tommy Fleetwood         28/1

Victor Dubuisson          28/1

Alexander Levy             33/1

Angel Cabrera               33/1

Cameron Tringale          33/1

Geoff Ogilvy                 33/1

Marc Warren                  33/1

Bo Van Pelt                  40/1

Brian Harman                40/1

Camilo Villegas             40/1

Danny Lee                    40/1

David Hearn                  40/1

Erik Compton                40/1

George Coetzee            40/1

John Senden                 40/1

Joost Luiten                  40/1

Michael Putnam             40/1

Thongchai Jaidee          40/1

Billy Hurley III                50/1

Daniel Summerhays       50/1

Lucas Glover                 50/1

Matt Every                    50/1

Morgan Hoffman           50/1

Retief Goosen               50/1

Ryo Ishikawa                 50/1

Stephen Gallacher         50/1

Thomas Aiken               50/1

Anirban Lahiri                66/1

Blayne Barber               66/1

Cameron Smith             66/1

Cheng-Tsung Pan          66/1

Bryson DeChambeau     80/1

Darren Clarke                80/1

Jamie Lovemark            80/1

Marcel Siem                  80/1

Marcus Fraser               80/1

Wen-Chong Liang          80/1

Andres Romero             100/1

Beau Hossler                100/1

Brad Fritsch                  100/1

Brandon Hagy               100/1

Charlie Beljan                100/1

Cody Gribble                100/1

Colin Montgomerie        100/1

D.A. Points                   100/1

Garth Mulroy                 100/1

John Parry                    100/1

Lucas Bjerregaard         100/1

Ollie Schniederjans        100/1

Richard Lee                   100/1

Roberto Castro             100/1

Tjaart Van Der Walt        100/1

Tom Hoge                     100/1

Sam Saunders              125/1

Hiroyuki Fujita               150/1

Jason Palmer                150/1

Kevin Lucas                  150/1

Lee Janzen                    150/1

Matthew NeSmith          150/1

Oliver Farr                     150/1

Rich Berberian Jr.          150/1

Sam Horsfield               150/1

Sebastian Cappelen      150/1

Seuk-Hyun Baek            150/1

Shiv Kapur                    150/1

Andy Pope                   200/1

Brad Elder                    200/1

Bradley Neil                  200/1

Cole Hammer                200/1

Davis Riley                   200/1

Denny McCarthy            200/1

Jack Maguire                200/1

Jake Knapp                  200/1

Jared Becher                 200/1

Jason Allred                  200/1

Masahiro Kawamura      200/1

Matt Mabrey                  200/1

Michael Davan              200/1

Nick Hardy                    200/1

Stephan Jaeger             200/1

Troy Kelly                     200/1

Tyler Duncan                 200/1

Kurt Barnes                   250/1

Kyle Jones                    250/1

Lee McCoy                   250/1

Mark Silvers                  250/1

Patrick Wilson               250/1

Timothy O’Neal              250/1

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(Photo via USGA)